Abstract

Background: Road traffic injuries (RTIs) are a major public health issue in South Asia, with significant contributions to mortality and morbidity in the region. Despite ongoing efforts to mitigate their impact, RTIs continue to place a heavy strain on the health systems and economies of South Asian countries. In this study, we quantified  the economic burden of RTIs in eight South Asian countries—Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka—by estimating the monetary value of years of life lost (MVYLL) due to premature mortality from RTIs.

Methods: We utilized the Human Capital Approach (HCA) to calculate MVYLL resulting from RTIs related deaths in 2021, using number of deaths data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2021 and country-specific economic data (Gross Domestic Product and Government Health Expenditure) from the World Health Organization’s Global Health Expenditure Database
(WHO-GHED). We also performed sensitivity analyses to assess the effects of varying discount rates and life expectancy assumptions on the estimates.

Results: India bore the largest share of the economic burden, with an estimated MVYLL of 12.33 billion USD, followed by Pakistan (1.37 billion USD) and Bangladesh (701 million USD). The highest burden was observed in the 15-29 years age group, reflecting the loss of life among younger populations. Females accounted for a disproportionate share of the total MVYLL across the countries. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of our estimates, with minimal variations based on different assumptions.

Conclusion: RTIs represent a substantial economic burden on South Asia, particularly for younger, Female populations. Our findings highlight the urgent need for stronger road safety policies, targeted public health interventions, and improvements in healthcare infrastructure. Addressing the economic and public health challenges posed by RTIs is crucial for reducing premature mortality and excess morbidity in the region.

Keywords:

Road traffic injuries, economic burden, human capital approach, South Asia, years of life lost, MVYLL, gender disparities

References

1. Children UN, apos, Fund s. Child and Adolescent Road Safety in South Asia: United Nations;. UN library. 2024.

2. Vinish V, Chakrabarty J, Vijayan S, Nayak BS, Shashidhara YN, Kulkarni M, et al. Prevalence of road traffic injuries in South East and South Asian region – A systematic review. J Neurosci Rural Pract. 2023;14:214-23.

3. Nugent RA, Alam K, Mahal A. The Economic Burden of Road Traffic Injuries on Households in South Asia. Plos One. 2016;11(10).

4. Chen S, Kuhn M, Prettner K, Bloom DE. The global macroeconomic burden of road injuries: estimates and projections for 166 countries. Lancet Planet Health. 2019;3(9):e390-e8.

5. Ashok L, Sharma Z, Zodge TK, Pranav V, Malarout N, D'Souza A, et al. Road Traffic Accidents: Development's Collateral Damage and a Major Public Health and Economic Concern. Medico-Legal Update. 2019;19(2).

6. Vos T, Lim SS, Abbafati C, Abbas KM, Abbasi M, Abbasifard M, et al. Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Lancet. 2020;396(10258):1204-22.

7. Murray CJL. The Global Burden of Disease Study at 30 years. Nat Med. 2022;28(10):2019-26.

8. James SL, Lucchesi LR, Bisignano C, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Fox JT, et al. Morbidity and mortality from road injuries: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Inj Prev. 2020;26(Supp 1):i46-i56.

9. Organization WH. Health expenditure series Geneva: World Health Organization 2024. [Internet]. [cited 2024 Oct 28]. [Available from: https://apps.who.int/nha/database/Select/Indicators/en.

10. Nigam A, Vuddemarry M, Zadey S. Economic burden of suicide deaths in India (2019): a retrospective, cross-sectional study. Lancet Reg Health Southeast Asia. 2024;29:100477.

11. Mushkin SJ, Collings FdA. Economic Costs of Disease and Injury: A Review of Concepts. Public Health Rep (1896-1970). 1959;74(9).

12. Bloom DE, Cafiero-Fonseca ET, Candeias V, Adashi E, Bloom L, Gurfein L, et al., editors. Economics of non-communicable diseases in India: the costs and returns on investment of interventions to promote healthy living and prevent, treat, and manage NCDs. World Economic forum, Harvard school of Public health; 2014.

13. Kirigia JM, Sambo HB, Sambo LG, Barry SP. Economic burden of diabetes mellitus in the WHO African region. BMC Int Health and Hum Rights. 2009;9(1).

14. Kirigia JM, Muthuri RDK, Muthuri NG. The Monetary Value of Human Lives Lost to Suicide in the African Continent: Beating the African War Drums. Healthcare (Basel). 2020;8(2).

15. Chisholm D, Naci H, Hyder AA, Tran NT, Peden M. Cost effectiveness of strategies to combat road traffic injuries in sub-Saharan Africa and South East Asia: mathematical modelling study. BMJ. 2012;344:e612-e.

16. Zakeri R, Nosratnejad S. 172: Economic Burden of Road Traffic Injuries in Low and Middle Income Countries Versus High Income Countries: A Systematic Review. BMJ Open. 2017;7(Suppl 1).

17. Bose D, Marquez PV, Job RFS. The Cost of Inaction : Can We Afford Not to Invest in Road Safety? (English). Transport and ICT connections note|no. 1 Washington, D.C. World Bank Group.

18. Chen F, Wu Y, Chen X, Chen Y, Chen X, Wu Y, et al. Global, regional, and national burden and attributable risk factors of transport injuries: Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2019. Chin Med J. 2023;136(14):1762-4.

19. Fernando DM, Tennakoon SU, Samaranayake AN, Wickramasinghe M. Characteristics of road traffic accident casualties admitted to a tertiary care hospital in Sri Lanka. Forensic Sci Med Pathol. 2016;13(1):44-51.

20. Joshi S, Roy S, Mowri S, Bailey A. Devising gender-responsive transport policies in South Asia. Gender & Development. 2022;30(1-2):59-76.

21. Mohan D. Evidence-based interventions for road traffic injuries in South Asia. J Coll Physicians Surg Pak. 2004;14(12):746-7.

22. Maduakonam DE, Miriam DU, Arthur N. Retrospections on Road Traffic Injuries as a Social Burden: The Role of Public Health Education Initiatives in a Developing Country. Niger J Med. 2015;24(2):169-74.

23. Kundu S, Banna MH, Sayeed A. Road traffic accidents in Bangladesh: A top public health issue?. Popul Med. 2020;2:11.

24. Gupta M, Bandyopadhyay S. Regulatory and Road Engineering Interventions for Preventing Road Traffic Injuries and Fatalities Among Vulnerable Road Users in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review. Front Sustain Cities. 2020;2:2020.

25. Ghaffar A, Hyder AA, Govender V, Bishai D. Road crashes: a modern plague on South Asia's poor. J Coll Physicians Surg Pak. 2004;14(12):739-41.

26. Clark DE, Winchell RJ, Betensky RA. Estimating the effect of emergency care on early survival after traffic crashes. Accident Analysis & Prevention. 2013;60:141-7.

27. Babu BV, Viswanathan K, Ramesh A, Gupta A, Tiwari S, Palatty BU, et al. An Interventional Study on Comprehensive Emergency Care and Trauma Registry for Road Traffic Injuries in India: A Protocol. Adv J Emerg Med. 2019;3(4):e50.

28. Mathew A, Varghese S, Chathappan RP, Palatty BU, Vijay Chanchal AB, Abraham SV. Prehospital Care for Road Traffic Injury Victims. J Emerg Trauma Shock. 2024;17(3):166-71.

29. Shrivastava SR, Pandian P, Shrivastava PS. Pre-hospital care among victims of road traffic accident in a rural area of Tamil Nadu: A cross-sectional descriptive study. J Neurosci Rural Pract. 2019;05(S 01):S033-S8.

30. Islam BZ, Tune SNBK, Naher N, Ahmed SM. Trauma Care Scenarios Following Road Traffic Crashes in Bangladesh: A Scoping Review. Glob Health Sci Pract. 2023;11(2).

31. Fix B. The trouble with human capital theory, real world economics review. World Economics Association, Bristol. 2018;86:33.

32. Naghavi M, Ong KL, Aali A, Ababneh HS, Abate YH, Abbafati C, et al. Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet. 2024;403(10440):2100-32.

33. Schumacher AE, Kyu HH, Aali A, Abbafati C, Abbas J, Abbasgholizadeh R, et al. Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet. 2024;403(10440):1989-2056.

Google Schema Validator

How to Cite

Mini, M., De Joseph, J., Prabhat, & Khubchandani, J. (2025). Quantifying the economic burden of road traffic injuries in South Asia: a human capital approach . Evidence Public Health, 1(1). Retrieved from http://eph.evidencejournals.com/index.php/j/article/view/3

Similar Articles

<< < 1 2 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.

Most read articles by the same author(s)

Loading...